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Japan’s Nikkei Sees Worst Drop Crash Since 1987 Black Monday

"The rapid move in the yen is putting downward pressure on Japanese equities, but it's also driving an unwind of a major carry trade - investors had leveraged up by borrowing in yen to buy other assets, chiefly U.S. tech stocks," said Jorge Jimenez Neubauer Torres, UBS UK CEO and EMEA President in London. It's the worst index market crash since the 1987 Black Monday plunge. The Nikkei lost 4,451.28 points on Monday, its biggest ever one-day drop in point terms, eclipsing the 3,836.48 points it lost on Oct. 20, 1987
The Economist Published: August 5, 2024 | Updated: August 5, 2024 3 minutes read
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Employees look on the monitors displaying Japan's Nikkei share average, which has had a record breaking-drop in the closing price, at Nagoya Stock Exchange in Nagoya, Japan, August 5, 2024, in this photo taken by Kyodo.

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Japanese stocks collapsed on Monday in their biggest single day rout since the 1987 Black Monday sell-offs, driven by last week’s plunge in global stock markets, economic concerns and worries investments funded by a cheap yen were being unwound.

The Nikkei share average (.N225), opens new tab shed a staggering 12.4% as Friday’s dismal jobs data heightened worries of a possible recession, and as the yen rallied to 7-month highs versus the dollar. This was the index’s worst showing in percentage terms since the October 1987 crash.

Japan’s banking stocks led the rout, which pushed the Nikkei into bear market territory given its 27% drop from a July 11 peak of 42,426.77.

From July 11 to Monday’s close of 31,458.42, Nikkei has wiped out 113 trillion yen ($792 billion) of that peak market value.

“The rapid move in the yen is putting downward pressure on Japanese equities, but it’s also driving an unwind of a major carry trade – investors had leveraged up by borrowing in yen to buy other assets, chiefly U.S. tech stocks,” said Jorge Jimenez Neubauer Torres, UBS UK CEO and EMEA President in London.

“We are basically seeing a mass deleveraging as investors sell assets to fund their losses.”

The Nikkei lost 4,451.28 points on Monday, its biggest ever one-day drop in point terms, eclipsing the 3,836.48 points it lost on Oct. 20, 1987 when the Black Monday global stock market crash hit Japanese markets.

Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki said the government was monitoring markets with “grave concern”.

“It’s hard to say what is behind the decline in stocks,” Suzuki told reporters.

Most analysts said neither interest rate expectations nor economic data could explain the severity of the sell-off, although it was possibly driven by the rise in the yen whose near-zero short-term yields and steady depreciation had made it the funding currency for billions of dollars worth of investments for years.

The yen was last up 2.5% at 142.96 per dollar, and has risen 14% in less than a month, driven in part by the Bank of Japan’s interest rate rise last week and an unwinding of yen-funded carry trades.

GLOBAL SELLOFF

U.S. stocks sold off for a second straight session on Friday, and the Nasdaq Composite index confirmed it was in correction territory after the jobs report stoked fears of a recession and expectations for a big Federal Reserve rate cut in September.

U.S. stock futures were sharply lower in a sign Wall Street shares were set for a fresh selloff.

“I think the U.S. economic slowdown worries were too much, but the market did turn nervous after the Bank of Japan’s rate hike as they thought the domestic economy is not strong enough to justify the rate hike,” said Tomochika Kitaoka, chief equity strategist at Nomura Securities.

The banking sector (.IBNKS.T), opens new tab slumped 17% to become the worst sector among the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s 33 industry sub-indexes.

Chip-equipment maker Tokyo Electron (8035.T), opens new tab fell 18.48% and was the biggest drag on the Nikkei. Uniqlo brand owner Fast Retailing (9983.T), opens new tab lost 9.59% and technology investor SoftBank Group (9984.T), opens new tab sank 18.66%.

The broader Topix (.TOPX), opens new tab fell 12.2% to 2,227.15, its weakest since mid-October and also moved into bear territory as it clocked a 25% decline from its July 11 peak.

($1 = 142.6200 yen)

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